Holy Monday in Malaga, Andalucia: Weather agency Aemet forecasts a day of “certain rains”
The forecast of rain has been threatening to overshadow Holy Monday in Malaga for days, and as the day approaches, the scenario becomes more complicated, not only because the chances of precipitation increase, but also because these days the forecasts are more accurate and reliable. The State Meteorological Agency (Aemet) is already talking about “a day of certain rain” in the province, rain that could fall throughout the day.
This is explained by the director of the Meteorological Center of Malaga, Jesús Riesco, who anticipates that on Holy Monday, “rain is very likely” in practically the entire province of Malaga and during different periods of the day.
“For Holy Monday, the DANA from the weekend is absorbed into the general circulation of the atmosphere, but a new one from the north reaches us,” explains Riesco. The precipitation can occur at any time of the day, he clarifies, although in search of some optimism for the brotherhoods, he adds that “there might be a window” in which the rains cease and allow the processions to take place.
“For now, it’s going to be the worst day,” comments the meteorologist, who nevertheless reminds us that “we’ll have to see it hour by hour to see how it affects each of the brotherhoods.” “It’s a very short-term prediction,” he points out. At least, it seems that the haze will finally bid farewell to Malaga throughout Monday. It will gradually dissipate, but until it completely clears, there may also be moments when rain with mud falls.
Hourly rain forecast in Malaga
The brotherhoods of Holy Monday have their exits scheduled between 3:20 p.m. and 5:30 p.m. (the first would be Crucifixion and the last ones Cautivo and Estudiantes). Pasión, Gitanos, and Dolores del Puente would depart staggered at 5:40 p.m., 5:20 p.m., and 5:25 p.m., respectively. It is still too early to specify that hourly forecast, but on its website, Aemet estimates a 100% chance of precipitation between 6:00 a.m. and 6:00 p.m. throughout the province of Malaga, including the capital.
At the moment, Aemet’s forecast indicates that from 6:00 p.m. in the capital, the probability decreases to 40%, with intervals of clouds. There could be a truce there, with all precautions. But from midnight, the rains could be reactivated in Malaga capital, and the probability rises again to 50%. It should be noted that the scheduled times for the closures range from 11:45 p.m. for Crucifixion to 2:15 a.m. for Cautivo.
Regarding temperatures, Meteorology also predicts a change in trend and a cooling of the atmosphere. Inland, there will be values below normal throughout Holy Week, while on the coast, they will be around 20 degrees Celsius maximum, which is more normal than in recent weeks. The exception in the case of the coast will be Holy Tuesday when some more cold is expected, with maximum temperatures not exceeding 16 degrees Celsius in the capital.
Holy Tuesday
For Holy Tuesday, there will no longer be haze. “As another depression arrives to replace the warm air mass with another from the north, cooler, the haze goes away,” Riesco explains. Temperatures will drop, and the new storm can affect the development of the processions on Holy Tuesday.
“Instability is expected, and precipitation is probable, but right now, it’s difficult to say whether in the morning or in the afternoon,” explains the director of the Meteorological Center of Malaga.
Holy Wednesday
The last day about which some advance weather forecast can be made is Holy Wednesday. Instability will continue, but the situation seems to be improving, and “there is a greater likelihood of long periods without rain,” according to Riesco.
“For now, what is seen is that Holy Thursday could see a slight improvement, but this can change from one day to another…,” says the meteorologist, who warns that in the final stretch of Holy Week, a new storm is expected to reach the Peninsula, and it will have to be seen whether it affects the province and how.
